Ecological Forecasting using Geospatial Analysis: Example from Kenya

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2018

Ecological Forecasting using Geospatial Analysis: Example from Kenya

Agency

Overview

This study presents a practical application of an ecological forecasting tool which uses geospatial analysis. It employs a methodology that helps quantify land cover change and aboveground carbon estimates for multiple time intervals and develops projections for the future. Further, it demonstrates the utility of ecosystem modelling tools in forecasting changes in land cover that could be applied ex-ante to set realistic targets and estimate expected returns on GEF investments. The study examines twelve terrestrial protected areas (PA) in Kenya with GEF interventions and covers two time periods (1995-2016 and 2020-2030).